Exploring Maize Production in Nigeria Under Climate Change Using System Dynamics

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September 1, 2017 - Laura Schmitt Olabisi<schmi420@msu.edu>, Saweda Liverpool-Tasie<lliverp@msu.edu>, Adeola Olajide

Laura Schmitt Olabisi, Saweda Liverpool-Tasie, Adeola Olajide. 2017. Exploring Maize Production in Nigeria Under Climate Change Using System Dynamics. Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Brief 46. East Lansing: Michigan State University

KEY FINDINGS

  • Under the baseline model run (without climate change), net production of maize in Nigeria (that is, production – national consumption) is expected to increase approximately three-fold by 2064.
  • Model output is consistent with meta-modeling studies that demonstrate potential yield losses of up to 50% by mid-century in West Africa under climate change, with the median yield loss at 11%.

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Tag List
  • climate change,
  • food security group,
  • fsp policy brief,
  • innovation lab for food security policy,
  • maize,
  • nigeria
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